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Minsheng Securities: In 2025, the banking sector grasped three main lines. The Minsheng Securities Research Report pointed out that it is expected that the revenue growth rate of listed banks will remain under pressure and profits will maintain positive growth in 2025. Restricted by factors such as the slowdown of scale expansion, the pressure of narrowing the net interest margin, and the marginal reduction of the contribution of financial investment to revenue, there is still pressure on the year-on-year growth of listed banks' revenue in 2025. However, with the gradual progress of local debt resolution, the real estate package policy has gradually become effective, and the hidden risks of banks in real estate and urban investment assets are expected to be effectively alleviated, and banks can maintain a low level of impairment provision, which supports profit performance. Grasp three main lines: 1) low-valued stock banks: it is recommended to pay attention to China Merchants Bank, Industrial Bank and Shanghai Pudong Development Bank; 2) High-quality rural commercial banks in regional cities: banks benefiting from chemical bonds. It is recommended to pay attention to Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, Chongqing Bank and regional high-quality banks, and Qilu Bank, Chengdu Bank, Changshu Bank and Hangzhou Bank. 3) High dividend banks: In the process of economic recovery, high dividend strategy has absolute income stability, so it is suggested to pay attention to state-owned big banks, Nanjing Bank and Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank.A number of banks' "second response": individual pension fund accounts will be opened in batches. Since the news that the individual pension system was pushed from 36 pilot cities to the whole country was released, a number of commercial banks acted quickly and successively issued notices on the automatic account opening business of individual pension fund accounts. At the same time, commercial banks have made careful preparations, started the "customer grabbing war" ahead of schedule, and launched a number of preferential account opening packages. Insiders interviewed by reporters said that the comprehensive roll-out of the personal pension system is an important measure for China to cope with the changes in population structure and employment situation, which will have a positive impact on China's economic development and put forward new requirements for commercial banks to do a good job in personal pension financial services. (Securities Daily)The head of the South Korean Police Department was formally detained. According to South Korean media reports, Zhao Zhihao, the head of the South Korean Police Department, and Kim Fung-sik, the head of the Seoul Police Department, were formally detained on the evening of December 13th. The Central District Court of Seoul said that Zhao Zhihao and Jin Fengzhi had the possibility of destroying evidence, so they issued detention orders. (CCTV International News)

China calls on the Security Council to resume the blanket exemption from the travel ban for relevant personnel of the Afghan interim government as soon as possible. On December 13th, local time, the United Nations Security Council unanimously adopted resolution 2763, extending the authorization of the Monitoring Team of the 1988 Sanctions Committee (Taliban Sanctions Committee) for 14 months. The Chinese representative expressed the hope that the team would continue to actively perform its duties as authorized by the resolution, provide strong support for the work of the Committee, support the monitoring team to strengthen contacts with the Afghan interim government, and look forward to the team's early visit to Afghanistan. Geng Shuang said that the resolution reaffirmed the necessity of reviewing the 1988 sanctions regime and stressed that the Security Council sanctions should help promote Afghan peace and stability. The Taliban has been in power for more than three years, the situation in Afghanistan is generally stable, and contacts between the outside world and the Afghan authorities are gradually expanding. China once again calls for timely adjustment of the sanctions mechanism according to the development and changes of the situation. As a first step, the Security Council should restore the blanket exemption from the travel ban for relevant personnel of the Afghan interim government as soon as possible, so as to create conditions and facilitate the international community to strengthen contacts and exchanges with Afghanistan.American polls show that half of Americans lack confidence in Trump's ability to nominate qualified cabinet members. A recent poll by the Associated Press -NORC Public Affairs Research Center shows that half of Americans lack confidence in President-elect Trump's ability to nominate qualified people for the new cabinet or key administrative positions. According to the survey results, 55% of American respondents have "a little confidence" or "no confidence at all" in Trump's ability to select qualified candidates during his second term, and another 27% have "very confidence". The poll was conducted from December 5 to 9, and the respondents were 1251 American adults, with a margin of error of 3.7 percentage points. (CCTV)The giant pandas "Xingqiu" and "Yilan" set off for the Adelaide Zoo in Australia. According to china wildlife conservation association news, "Xingqiu" (male, born on September 29th, 2020) and "Yilan" (female, born on August 10th, 2021) set off for the Adelaide Zoo in Australia today (December 14th), continuing the 15-year panda protection cooperation relationship between the two sides for 10 years. China and Australia have arranged various preparations before transportation in an orderly manner, and made every effort to ensure the safe and smooth arrival of the two giant pandas at Adelaide Zoo. The Chinese side carried out quarantine and physical examination on the two giant pandas, and they were in good health. Experts were organized to go to Adelaide National Zoo for technical guidance, and food, water and medicines such as Wowotou, bamboo shoots and carrots were prepared to ensure the needs of giant pandas during the flight. China and Australia sent veterinarians and breeders to escort two giant pandas on the same plane. In order to welcome the arrival of giant pandas, Adelaide Zoo has made full preparations, the venue arrangement is brand-new, the edible bamboo has a long-term and stable guarantee, the feeding management team is experienced, and a complete feeding management system and technical specifications have been formulated.

CITIC Securities: The growth rate of supply is expected to move down rapidly, and there is room for aluminum price increase. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, the growth rate of global electrolytic aluminum production is expected to be 3.6%/2.2%/1.7%/0.9% from 2024 to 2027, showing a rapid downward trend. At the same time, our calculation results show that the incentive price of overseas electrolytic aluminum projects may be as high as 3000 US dollars /24000 yuan. The current aluminum price is difficult to stimulate overseas capacity expansion. We are optimistic about the rising space of aluminum price and the allocation value of aluminum plate under the background of strong supply constraints. Maintain the aluminum plate "stronger than the market" rating.The second vote of the National Assembly on the impeachment case of Xiyue is obviously shaken and split within the ruling party. At 4 pm local time on the 14th (3 pm Beijing time today), the plenary session of the National Assembly of South Korea will once again vote on the impeachment case of South Korean President Yin Xiyue. If the impeachment case is approved by at least two thirds, that is, at least 200 votes, Yin Xiyue will be suspended immediately and the impeachment case will be handed over to the Korean Constitutional Court for a final ruling. Since the opposition camp in South Korea, which supports the impeachment of Yin Xiyue, has a majority of 192 seats in the National Assembly, Yin Xiyue's impeachment case will be passed in the National Assembly of South Korea as long as 8 of the 108 ruling party members vote in favor. It is reported that the ruling party will hold another emergency meeting of members of parliament before voting this afternoon. According to the news coming out, the ruling party may revise its boycott position in the last voting and will not restrict members from entering the venue to vote. Some analysts even said that the number of members of the ruling party in favor of the impeachment case may far exceed eight. (CCTV News)Antaike: The global nickel industry surplus is expected to narrow, and the nickel price may decline. The Antaike report shows that the nickel price will rise and fall in the first half of 2024, because the supporting cost below is still there. After the price reached a staged low in late July, the whole price showed a pattern of bottoming out and falling resistance, and the upward and downward momentum was not strong. Returning to the fundamentals itself, oversupply and the staged improvement of downstream consumption have limited room for price rise. On the whole, the price of nickel basically fluctuated within a narrow range this year. The highest nickel in Shanghai was 160,000, and the lowest was 119,000, mainly in the range of 120,000-140,000. Looking forward to the next year, it is expected that the upward and downward momentum of nickel price is not strong, and the main contradiction is still on the supply side. In 2025, it is expected that the price difference between products and inside and outside will further converge, and the price center of gravity will move down. It is expected that the nickel will be in the range of 14,500-18,500 US dollars/ton; The range of Shanghai nickel is 120,000-170,000 yuan/ton.